Arminia Bielefeld vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1987 |
KÖL
3 - 1
ARB
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1987 |
ARB
0 - 2
OFC
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 1987 |
AAA
3 - 0
ARB
53%
26%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
HES
4 - 5
ARB
48%
27%
26%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1987 |
ARB
5 - 1
ULM
63%
21%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1987 |
ROT
1 - 2
MEP
76%
15%
9%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1987 |
ROT
1 - 1
F95
58%
21%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
SVS
3 - 0
ROT
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1987 |
ROT
3 - 5
OSN
65%
19%
16%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1987 |
SAL
2 - 2
ROT
28%
28%
45%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | -1 |