Arminia Bielefeld vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
DAR
1 - 1
ARB
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
ARB
1 - 1
VIK
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
ARB
1 - 1
STP
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
TSV
1 - 5
ARB
9%
20%
70%
|
74 | 8 | 66 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
AAA
2 - 0
ARB
49%
27%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
ROT
0 - 1
AAA
47%
25%
27%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
SCF
3 - 1
ROT
59%
23%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
ROT
1 - 1
EBT
54%
22%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
WAT
2 - 1
ROT
69%
18%
13%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
ROT
3 - 3
KÖL
49%
23%
28%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |