Arminia Bielefeld vs Rot-Weiß Oberhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2003 |
ARB
0 - 1
HAN
44%
24%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
ROS
3 - 0
ARB
44%
26%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
ARB
1 - 3
RTV
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
LEV
3 - 1
ARB
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
ARB
2 - 2
COT
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2003 |
RWA
2 - 1
ROT
53%
24%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
ROT
0 - 2
EIN
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
AAA
2 - 0
ROT
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
ROT
3 - 1
MSV
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
KSC
2 - 1
ROT
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |