Arminia Bielefeld vs Preußen Münster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1974 |
ROT
2 - 2
ARB
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1974 |
ARB
1 - 1
BVB
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
PRE
2 - 0
ARB
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
ARB
1 - 2
AAA
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
GUT
2 - 1
ARB
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Preußen Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1974 |
PRE
1 - 1
WAB
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1974 |
KFC
3 - 1
PRE
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
PRE
2 - 0
ARB
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
EGE
0 - 2
PRE
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
PRE
5 - 0
VIK
78%
16%
6%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |