Arminia Bielefeld vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
SVS
2 - 1
ARB
32%
26%
43%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
ARB
3 - 1
REU
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2001 |
WAL
3 - 3
ARB
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
ARB
1 - 1
RWA
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
FCN
2 - 1
ARB
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2001 |
MSV
2 - 1
HAN
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
MSV
0 - 0
SVS
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
REU
0 - 1
MSV
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2001 |
MSV
0 - 1
WAL
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
RWA
3 - 2
MSV
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |