Arminia Bielefeld vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 1985 |
DAR
4 - 1
ARB
53%
24%
22%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1985 |
ARB
1 - 1
SAA
49%
22%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1985 |
SAA
2 - 0
ARB
54%
22%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1985 |
ARB
1 - 0
KFC
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1985 |
BRE
2 - 1
ARB
82%
12%
6%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 1985 |
MSV
1 - 0
HOM
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
MSV
3 - 1
DAR
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
HOM
3 - 0
MSV
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1985 |
MSV
0 - 2
USO
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1985 |
ULM
2 - 3
MSV
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |