Arminia Bielefeld vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.5%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
34.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1970 |
EBT
3 - 2
ARB
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1970 |
ARB
3 - 0
BRE
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 1970 |
KOL
2 - 0
ARB
84%
11%
6%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1970 |
ARB
0 - 3
S04
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1970 |
ROT
4 - 2
ARB
71%
18%
12%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1970 |
MSV
3 - 2
HAN
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1970 |
HSV
2 - 0
MSV
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1970 |
MSV
0 - 0
KOL
26%
27%
46%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1970 |
MSV
1 - 1
MON
25%
27%
48%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1970 |
EIN
0 - 0
MSV
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |