Arminia Bielefeld vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1998 |
ULM
6 - 2
ARB
20%
26%
55%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1998 |
ARB
0 - 1
HAN
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1998 |
UNT
0 - 2
ARB
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
S04
2 - 1
ARB
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
ARB
2 - 1
KOL
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1998 |
M05
4 - 1
KSC
24%
25%
51%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1998 |
WAT
1 - 1
M05
42%
25%
32%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1998 |
M05
3 - 0
SGF
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1998 |
MEP
0 - 3
M05
35%
27%
39%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1998 |
M05
2 - 1
KFC
58%
24%
19%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |