Arminia Bielefeld vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1995 |
WAL
3 - 5
ARB
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
CHE
5 - 1
ARB
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1995 |
ARB
1 - 2
CZJ
53%
25%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
UNT
3 - 0
ARB
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
ARB
1 - 0
WOL
44%
26%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
M05
4 - 2
CHE
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1995 |
CZJ
6 - 1
M05
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1995 |
M05
3 - 1
UNT
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
WOL
2 - 2
M05
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
M05
2 - 0
WAT
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |