Arminia Bielefeld vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
12.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1995 |
ARB
1 - 1
EIN
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
BNE
0 - 4
ARB
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1995 |
VIK
3 - 3
ARB
30%
28%
43%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1995 |
ARB
2 - 0
ERK
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
HAU
0 - 3
ARB
27%
28%
45%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1995 |
TSH
0 - 6
LUB
15%
24%
61%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
LUB
6 - 2
LUN
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1995 |
CEL
1 - 1
LUB
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
SVL
1 - 2
LUB
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1995 |
LUB
2 - 0
HAM
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |