Arminia Bielefeld vs Hannover 96 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1980 |
PRE
0 - 3
ARB
40%
27%
34%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1980 |
ARB
5 - 1
ROT
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1980 |
TEN
1 - 2
ARB
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1980 |
ARB
2 - 0
OSN
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1980 |
AAA
2 - 3
ARB
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Hannover 96
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1980 |
HAN
2 - 0
DSC
65%
21%
15%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1980 |
USO
1 - 2
HAN
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 1980 |
HAN
3 - 0
AHA
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1980 |
HOL
0 - 0
HAN
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1980 |
HAN
2 - 0
WUP
77%
16%
8%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |