Arminia Bielefeld vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
60.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ARB
4 - 0
ING
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MSV
0 - 1
ARB
21%
23%
56%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ARB
3 - 1
WAL
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ARB
2 - 2
BOR
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
VER
3 - 1
ARB
29%
24%
47%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
KAI
3 - 3
HSV
23%
22%
55%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
HSV
2 - 0
SGF
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
WEH
1 - 1
HSV
18%
21%
61%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
HSV
1 - 0
F95
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
OSN
2 - 1
HSV
16%
20%
64%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |