Arminia Bielefeld vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
47.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1971 |
MSV
4 - 0
ARB
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1971 |
ARB
1 - 0
HAN
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1971 |
BYM
1 - 1
ARB
87%
10%
4%
|
65 | 90 | 25 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
ARB
1 - 0
STU
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1971 |
RTV
2 - 1
ARB
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1971 |
HSV
4 - 0
KAI
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
STJ
3 - 0
HSV
56%
22%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1971 |
MON
1 - 0
HSV
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1971 |
HSV
3 - 0
ROT
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
HSV
2 - 1
STJ
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |