Arminia Bielefeld vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1987 |
OFC
2 - 0
ARB
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1987 |
ARB
0 - 0
AAA
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1987 |
ARB
3 - 1
BAY
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1987 |
SAA
2 - 0
ARB
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1987 |
ARB
0 - 0
OSN
47%
25%
29%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1987 |
PRE
2 - 3
KÖL
39%
25%
36%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1987 |
KÖL
1 - 1
MEP
65%
21%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1987 |
FCR
2 - 0
KÖL
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1987 |
F95
0 - 2
KÖL
65%
19%
16%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1987 |
KÖL
5 - 1
ROT
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |