Arminia Bielefeld vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
ARB
1 - 1
AAA
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
HOM
3 - 1
ARB
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
ARB
7 - 1
EBT
59%
22%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
ROT
0 - 2
ARB
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
ARB
3 - 0
SVS
51%
24%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
KÖL
2 - 3
HOM
57%
23%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
EBT
0 - 0
KÖL
47%
24%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
KÖL
3 - 0
ROT
59%
21%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
SVS
3 - 0
KÖL
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
KÖL
1 - 1
USO
54%
23%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |