Arminia Bielefeld vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
WUP
3 - 1
ARB
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
ARB
2 - 0
WAT
60%
22%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1977 |
ARB
2 - 0
SCH
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1977 |
WHE
2 - 0
ARB
52%
24%
25%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1977 |
ARB
3 - 0
SWE
66%
21%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
KÖL
3 - 1
WHE
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
SWE
2 - 2
KÖL
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1977 |
KÖL
3 - 2
HAN
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1977 |
PRE
3 - 1
KÖL
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1977 |
KÖL
2 - 2
USO
80%
13%
6%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |