Arminia Bielefeld vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
WUR
1 - 1
ARB
36%
27%
38%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
ARB
2 - 0
KAI
39%
27%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
FCN
1 - 0
ARB
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ARB
2 - 2
ERZ
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
EIN
1 - 0
ARB
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
F95
0 - 1
MUN
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
KSC
0 - 3
F95
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2017 |
F95
1 - 2
EBT
41%
28%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
RTV
1 - 2
F95
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
F95
0 - 0
HEI
39%
27%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |