Arminia Bielefeld vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
BVB
5 - 0
ARB
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
ARB
1 - 4
KOL
26%
28%
47%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
HSV
2 - 2
ARB
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
ARB
3 - 1
BRE
16%
24%
60%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1996 |
KSC
5 - 2
ARB
80%
14%
6%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
F95
0 - 2
BYM
16%
21%
62%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
MSV
0 - 0
F95
46%
25%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
F95
2 - 2
RTV
36%
26%
37%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
STP
3 - 0
F95
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1996 |
F95
1 - 4
HSV
39%
25%
37%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |