Arminia Bielefeld vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ING
2 - 2
ARB
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
ARB
1 - 1
HOL
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
F95
4 - 2
ARB
42%
26%
33%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
ARB
1 - 0
FCN
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
HEI
2 - 2
ARB
45%
25%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ERZ
2 - 1
STP
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
SSV
1 - 3
ERZ
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
ERZ
4 - 4
MBO
16%
21%
63%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2018 |
ERZ
2 - 1
SGF
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
FCU
0 - 0
ERZ
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |