Arminia Bielefeld vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1995 |
HAU
0 - 3
ARB
27%
28%
45%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1995 |
ARB
0 - 3
AAA
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -2 |
| 01 May. 1995 |
VER
1 - 1
ARB
46%
26%
29%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1995 |
ARB
2 - 0
WUP
58%
23%
18%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1995 |
SAL
1 - 2
ARB
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1995 |
ERK
0 - 1
VIK
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1995 |
ERK
3 - 0
HAU
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1995 |
AAA
3 - 1
ERK
59%
24%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
ERK
1 - 1
VER
54%
24%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1995 |
WUP
2 - 0
ERK
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |