Arminia Bielefeld vs Darmstadt 98 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
VFR
3 - 1
ARB
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
STU
2 - 5
ARB
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ARB
1 - 1
OSN
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
WER
2 - 3
ARB
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ARB
1 - 0
BAB
46%
27%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Darmstadt 98
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
DAR
4 - 1
SVS
28%
26%
47%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
OSN
4 - 1
DAR
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
DAR
1 - 2
VFR
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
STU
1 - 1
DAR
61%
23%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
DAR
2 - 0
WER
55%
24%
22%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |