Arminia Bielefeld vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1987 |
SAA
2 - 0
ARB
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1987 |
ARB
0 - 0
OSN
47%
25%
29%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
USO
5 - 0
ARB
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
ARB
0 - 0
ULM
57%
22%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1987 |
ROT
2 - 2
ARB
52%
24%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1987 |
BAY
0 - 1
MEP
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1987 |
FCR
5 - 2
BAY
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
BAY
1 - 0
F95
37%
25%
37%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
ROT
2 - 0
BAY
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1987 |
BAY
2 - 0
KÖL
39%
28%
34%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |