Arminia Bielefeld vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1985 |
BWB
3 - 1
ARB
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
ARB
2 - 0
TEN
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1985 |
HES
0 - 1
ARB
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1985 |
ARB
0 - 1
KÖL
58%
22%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
ARB
1 - 1
AAA
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1985 |
BAY
1 - 6
HOM
42%
26%
33%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
EBT
5 - 2
BAY
57%
24%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1985 |
BAY
3 - 2
ROT
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1985 |
SVS
1 - 1
BAY
68%
18%
14%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
BAY
1 - 0
USO
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |