Arminia Bielefeld vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
FCU
2 - 1
ARB
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2002 |
ARB
3 - 2
SGF
51%
23%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2002 |
MSV
2 - 1
ARB
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
ARB
1 - 1
KSC
69%
19%
13%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2002 |
ARB
4 - 1
EIN
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2002 |
AAA
2 - 1
EIN
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
SAA
2 - 1
AAA
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
AAA
1 - 0
SCH
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2002 |
WAL
3 - 1
AAA
62%
20%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
AAA
1 - 1
REU
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |