Arminia Bielefeld vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1987 |
ARB
3 - 1
BAY
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1987 |
SAA
2 - 0
ARB
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1987 |
ARB
0 - 0
OSN
47%
25%
29%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
USO
5 - 0
ARB
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
ARB
0 - 0
ULM
57%
22%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1987 |
MEP
1 - 0
AAA
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1987 |
AAA
2 - 1
FCR
69%
20%
11%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1987 |
AAA
0 - 1
PRE
69%
19%
13%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1987 |
F95
3 - 0
AAA
52%
23%
24%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
AAA
1 - 1
ROT
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |