Arminia Bielefeld vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
40.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
EIN
1 - 1
ARB
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2020 |
ROT
1 - 0
ARB
8%
16%
76%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
GRO
1 - 1
ARB
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
ARB
3 - 2
MSV
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
STU
2 - 0
ARB
41%
25%
35%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
KOL
2 - 3
HOF
20%
20%
60%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ALT
0 - 6
KOL
7%
13%
81%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
KOL
0 - 3
WOL
32%
25%
44%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
FCU
1 - 2
KOL
35%
24%
41%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2020 |
KOL
3 - 2
RTV
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |