Arminia Bielefeld vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
FCN
1 - 0
ARB
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
ARB
1 - 1
BVB
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1981 |
KAI
4 - 0
ARB
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
ARB
2 - 1
EBT
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
SVS
3 - 6
ARB
18%
20%
62%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
KOL
3 - 0
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
STU
1 - 1
KOL
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1981 |
KOL
3 - 0
MSV
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
HSV
3 - 1
KOL
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1981 |
KOL
3 - 2
OSC
88%
8%
4%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |