Arminia Bielefeld vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1980 |
USO
1 - 3
ARB
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1980 |
ARB
11 - 0
AHA
79%
14%
7%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1980 |
HOL
3 - 3
ARB
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1980 |
ARB
5 - 1
WUP
81%
13%
6%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1980 |
OSV
3 - 2
ARB
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1980 |
F95
2 - 1
KOL
49%
23%
28%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1980 |
KOL
1 - 0
KFC
79%
13%
8%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1980 |
BRE
0 - 5
KOL
34%
25%
42%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1980 |
RTV
2 - 0
KOL
28%
26%
46%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1980 |
S04
0 - 2
KOL
38%
26%
37%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |