Arminia Bielefeld vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
49%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
HER
1 - 2
ARB
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
ARB
1 - 1
STU
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1978 |
RTV
1 - 0
ARB
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
ARB
1 - 3
BRE
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1978 |
MSV
3 - 1
ARB
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
KOL
0 - 2
EIN
67%
18%
15%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
LSO
0 - 1
KOL
30%
26%
44%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
S04
1 - 1
KOL
43%
25%
33%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
KOL
3 - 3
MSV
72%
16%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
BVB
0 - 0
KOL
33%
25%
42%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |