Arminia Bielefeld vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
45.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1971 |
S04
0 - 1
ARB
73%
19%
8%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1971 |
ARB
2 - 1
ROT
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1971 |
BYM
2 - 0
ARB
86%
10%
4%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1971 |
ARB
2 - 1
KAI
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1971 |
OFC
5 - 0
ARB
75%
16%
10%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1971 |
JUV
2 - 0
KOL
59%
22%
20%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1971 |
KOL
0 - 1
HAN
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1971 |
KOL
1 - 1
JUV
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1971 |
KOL
2 - 0
HSV
73%
15%
12%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1971 |
HSV
2 - 0
KOL
41%
26%
34%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |