Arminia Bielefeld U19 vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
61.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
4º
8º
8º
3
7º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
17 | 28 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 28 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 25 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 25 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 17 |
5º
|
62% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 12 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
|
8º
|
3 | 10 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
5 | 9 |
8º
|
64% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WBR
6 - 2
ARM
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ARM
0 - 1
ALA
35%
21%
44%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ARM
2 - 1
WUP
50%
22%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LEV
5 - 0
ARM
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ARM
1 - 3
SCP
17%
20%
63%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
RWE
0 - 4
OSN
55%
21%
24%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
RWE
1 - 5
HAN
34%
23%
43%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
HEZ
2 - 2
RWE
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ERA
2 - 2
RWE
44%
22%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FSV
0 - 1
RWE
35%
22%
43%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |