Arminia Bielefeld U19 vs Fortuna Köln U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.3%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.8%
2.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SCH
3 - 1
ARM
80%
14%
7%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ARM
2 - 0
BOR
55%
21%
23%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
KOL
4 - 0
ARM
66%
19%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ARM
4 - 0
FOR
46%
24%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
DUI
3 - 2
ARM
42%
23%
35%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 1
ESS
11%
19%
71%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SCH
3 - 0
FOR
87%
10%
4%
|
6 | 42 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 1
MON
7%
14%
80%
|
6 | 39 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BOR
2 - 1
FOR
92%
6%
2%
|
6 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BOC
2 - 1
FOR
90%
8%
3%
|
6 | 27 | 21 | 0 |