Arminia Bielefeld Sub 19 vs B. Leverkusen Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
69.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+158%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
DUI
1 - 0
ARM
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ARM
3 - 2
MON
16%
21%
63%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +3 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
ALA
2 - 3
ARM
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ARM
2 - 4
BOC
24%
22%
54%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
BGL
6 - 2
ARM
14%
19%
67%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
LEV
2 - 3
BOC
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
PRE
0 - 3
LEV
8%
15%
77%
|
41 | 9 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
LEV
3 - 1
BOR
47%
22%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
BGL
0 - 4
LEV
11%
16%
74%
|
41 | 12 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
RWA
0 - 1
LEV
7%
15%
78%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | +1 |