Arminia Bielefeld II vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ENN
1 - 4
ABI
13%
18%
69%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ABI
0 - 1
GUT
67%
19%
15%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ABI
2 - 3
ERN
73%
16%
12%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
HEV
1 - 3
ABI
9%
15%
76%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ABI
2 - 1
LIP
64%
20%
17%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
WAT
2 - 0
HAM
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
GIE
0 - 2
WAT
11%
17%
71%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ENN
0 - 4
WAT
17%
20%
63%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
WAT
2 - 0
GUT
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
NEU
0 - 3
WAT
19%
21%
60%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |