Arminia Bielefeld II vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2012 |
ERN
1 - 2
ABI
15%
19%
66%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ABI
8 - 0
WHE
86%
10%
4%
|
37 | 10 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
AAA
1 - 3
ABI
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ABI
6 - 0
RWA
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ABI
0 - 0
MSV
40%
25%
36%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 4
MSV
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
VIK
3 - 0
VEL
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VEL
4 - 3
WER
63%
20%
18%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SWE
1 - 0
VEL
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VEL
0 - 3
SPO
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |