Arminia Bielefeld II vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
34.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
HUL
4 - 1
ABI
18%
23%
60%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ABI
0 - 0
AAA
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
ABI
2 - 1
SOI
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 0
ABI
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
ESS
1 - 2
ABI
24%
23%
54%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
MSV
3 - 2
HUL
76%
15%
10%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
AAA
0 - 2
MSV
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MSV
0 - 4
FOR
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MSV
1 - 2
GEW
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
WHE
3 - 1
MSV
48%
23%
29%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |