Arminia Bielefeld II vs Lüner analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
RWA
3 - 3
ABI
51%
24%
26%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
ABI
3 - 1
SPR
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
ABI
1 - 0
KOR
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
SCH
0 - 0
ABI
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
ABI
2 - 2
LIP
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lüner
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
WAT
2 - 2
LSV
84%
12%
4%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
LSV
0 - 1
BOC
13%
20%
67%
|
15 | 48 | 33 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
LSV
1 - 4
HAS
26%
24%
50%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
GUT
3 - 0
LSV
83%
12%
4%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
LSV
1 - 4
SPR
27%
23%
49%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |