Arminia Bielefeld II vs Lüner analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
ABI
0 - 0
SPS
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
ERH
1 - 2
ABI
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
STA
1 - 2
ABI
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
ABI
1 - 0
SPR
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
TSG
1 - 3
ABI
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lüner
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
WHE
3 - 2
LSV
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
LSV
0 - 1
WAT
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
HAS
1 - 3
LSV
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
STA
4 - 1
LSV
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
LSV
1 - 3
FBI
60%
21%
20%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -2 |