Arminia Bielefeld II vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BAY
6 - 2
ABI
52%
24%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
ABI
0 - 2
WIE
41%
26%
34%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BOC
1 - 4
ABI
69%
18%
12%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ABI
1 - 2
S04
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 2
ABI
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
HOM
0 - 3
EIN
25%
25%
50%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
PRE
3 - 0
HOM
73%
18%
9%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
HOM
2 - 3
WUP
22%
25%
53%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
KAI
1 - 1
HOM
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
HOM
0 - 0
VER
31%
27%
42%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |