Arminia Bielefeld II vs Erndtebrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
HEV
1 - 3
ABI
9%
15%
76%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ABI
2 - 1
LIP
64%
20%
17%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
DOR
2 - 2
ABI
18%
20%
63%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ABI
5 - 0
WER
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
RBE
2 - 0
ABI
16%
19%
65%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Erndtebrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ERN
1 - 0
HAM
42%
24%
35%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
WAT
1 - 1
ERN
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
GUT
1 - 2
ERN
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ERN
3 - 3
NEU
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GIE
0 - 0
ERN
12%
18%
70%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |