Armagh City vs Queens University Belfast analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
58.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
ARC
35%
23%
42%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BRF
2 - 2
ARC
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
DOL
2 - 1
ARC
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ARC
4 - 3
TOB
68%
17%
15%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
ARC
2 - 0
NEW
22%
23%
56%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Queens University Belfast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
QUB
2 - 1
COA
87%
9%
4%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 1
QUB
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LIS
0 - 4
QUB
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
QUB
2 - 2
MOY
64%
20%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
RRF
1 - 5
QUB
10%
18%
72%
|
50 | 17 | 33 | 0 |