Armagh City vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
46.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
ARC
0 - 4
POR
20%
22%
58%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
ARC
74%
17%
10%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ARC
1 - 3
DUN
17%
20%
63%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
DER
1 - 1
ARC
22%
22%
56%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
ARC
1 - 1
DER
64%
19%
17%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
COL
5 - 2
INS
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
INS
3 - 3
DUN
25%
23%
52%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CLI
6 - 2
INS
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
DER
2 - 1
INS
15%
20%
65%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 0
INS
33%
25%
43%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -2 |