Armagh City vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
62.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ARC
3 - 0
SYL
79%
14%
8%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
ARC
3 - 1
ARD
53%
22%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
PSN
3 - 3
ARC
45%
23%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
ARD
2 - 2
ARC
46%
24%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
TOB
1 - 2
ARC
28%
23%
49%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
GLE
1 - 2
WAR
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
GLE
1 - 1
COL
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 3
GLE
39%
25%
36%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
POR
1 - 3
GLE
43%
24%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 2
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |