Armagh City vs Dergview FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
15.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ARC
4 - 0
KNO
55%
23%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ARC
2 - 1
WAR
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
LAR
2 - 1
ARC
43%
24%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LCE
0 - 2
ARC
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ARC
2 - 1
KNO
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Dergview FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
WAR
3 - 1
DER
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
DER
6 - 2
LOU
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 1
DER
65%
21%
15%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
KNO
3 - 0
DER
61%
22%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
DER
3 - 1
LCE
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |