Armagh City vs Bangor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HAR
5 - 0
ARC
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LIM
3 - 0
ARC
61%
22%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ARC
4 - 1
ARD
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
AUN
1 - 2
ARC
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ARC
3 - 3
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
BAN
3 - 1
DUN
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
NEW
4 - 5
BAN
14%
21%
64%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 3
LIM
60%
22%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
ARD
0 - 4
BAN
25%
24%
52%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
BAN
4 - 0
NEY
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |