Armagh City vs Banbridge Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
42.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
9º
12º
11º
20
8º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BAN
5 - 0
ARC
76%
15%
9%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MOY
3 - 0
ARC
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
POR
5 - 0
ARC
51%
23%
25%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
DOL
4 - 0
ARC
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ARC
0 - 4
TOB
84%
11%
5%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Banbridge Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BAN
2 - 1
QUB
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LIM
1 - 1
BAN
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
5 - 0
BAN
61%
20%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BAN
0 - 0
PSN
75%
17%
9%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BRF
6 - 1
BAN
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |