Armadale vs Balcatta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
5.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
9º
5º
29
2º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armadale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FLO
0 - 3
ARM
76%
14%
10%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ARM
1 - 6
PRS
29%
20%
50%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 1
ARM
12%
16%
72%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ARM
4 - 0
ING
48%
21%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PEG
4 - 3
ARM
41%
23%
37%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Balcatta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 3
PRS
10%
15%
76%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 2
BAY
21%
21%
58%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
STI
1 - 2
BAL
70%
18%
13%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 3
BAL
45%
22%
34%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ING
1 - 2
BAL
77%
15%
8%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +1 |