Armacenenses vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
76.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armacenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ALJ
1 - 1
ARM
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ARM
0 - 3
LOU
13%
20%
67%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ARM
2 - 3
CAS
13%
21%
66%
|
24 | 55 | 31 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SIN
1 - 2
ARM
78%
15%
7%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ARM
0 - 2
FAB
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
VIA
2 - 7
ORI
11%
17%
72%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ORI
3 - 1
ALJ
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ORI
1 - 1
LOU
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 3
ORI
54%
24%
23%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ORI
0 - 0
SIN
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |