Armacenenses vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
69.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armacenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 1
ARM
83%
12%
5%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ARM
0 - 2
FAR
8%
18%
74%
|
17 | 54 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ARM
1 - 3
PIN
13%
18%
69%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
VIA
0 - 2
ARM
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ALJ
5 - 2
ARM
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MOU
2 - 1
ALJ
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 1
MOU
53%
24%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 2
MOU
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MOU
3 - 2
FAB
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIA
1 - 1
MOU
29%
23%
48%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |