Arles vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
67.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
PSG
4 - 0
ARL
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ARL
0 - 1
REN
21%
27%
52%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
TFC
2 - 1
ARL
62%
24%
14%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
ARL
0 - 1
LEN
21%
28%
51%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
SOC
2 - 1
ARL
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
SPA
66%
20%
15%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 2
MON
72%
18%
11%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
GIR
1 - 1
MAR
43%
26%
31%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 0
LOR
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
VAL
3 - 2
MAR
21%
25%
54%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |